Current forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 7 maximum temperature centered near 34–35 °C under a strong subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating while limiting mixing. Recent runs have trended slightly cooler than earlier guidance, tightening the distribution around 33–34 °C and explaining why those two outcomes now command the highest market-implied odds. Key variables still in play include boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective cooling, both of which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus released in the next 24–48 hours. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30 °C, so this event sits well above the climatological baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 7?
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 10%
35°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
30%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 10%
35°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$17 Vol.
2%
32°C
$16 Vol.
10%
33°C
$21 Vol.
34%
34°C
$16 Vol.
30%
35°C
$28 Vol.
13%
36°C
$16 Vol.
3%
37°C
$17 Vol.
2%
38°C
$17 Vol.
1%
39°C
$15 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 7 maximum temperature centered near 34–35 °C under a strong subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating while limiting mixing. Recent runs have trended slightly cooler than earlier guidance, tightening the distribution around 33–34 °C and explaining why those two outcomes now command the highest market-implied odds. Key variables still in play include boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective cooling, both of which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus released in the next 24–48 hours. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30 °C, so this event sits well above the climatological baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$174Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 7 maximum temperature centered near 34–35 °C under a strong subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating while limiting mixing. Recent runs have trended slightly cooler than earlier guidance, tightening the distribution around 33–34 °C and explaining why those two outcomes now command the highest market-implied odds. Key variables still in play include boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective cooling, both of which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus released in the next 24–48 hours. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30 °C, so this event sits well above the climatological baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$174Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 7 maximum temperature centered near 34–35 °C under a strong subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating while limiting mixing. Recent runs have trended slightly cooler than earlier guidance, tightening the distribution around 33–34 °C and explaining why those two outcomes now command the highest market-implied odds. Key variables still in play include boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective cooling, both of which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus released in the next 24–48 hours. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30 °C, so this event sits well above the climatological baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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