Stable high-pressure systems over northern Italy are driving trader consensus toward 36°C (41%) or 37°C (31.5%) as the most likely peak temperature in Milan on August 6. Persistent subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong insolation across the Po Valley favor daytime maxima several degrees above the ~30°C August climatology, with ECMWF and Met Office guidance centering on 36–37°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official Milan stations. Minor probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflect residual model spread in afternoon heating and any late-day cloud or advection shifts before resolution by verified observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 6?
36°C 41%
37°C 32%
35°C 14%
38°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
34°C or below
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
41%
37°C
32%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 32%
35°C 14%
38°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
34°C or below
$141 Vol.
4%
35°C
$228 Vol.
14%
36°C
$204 Vol.
41%
37°C
$206 Vol.
32%
38°C
$63 Vol.
4%
39°C
$17 Vol.
2%
40°C
$31 Vol.
2%
41°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over northern Italy are driving trader consensus toward 36°C (41%) or 37°C (31.5%) as the most likely peak temperature in Milan on August 6. Persistent subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong insolation across the Po Valley favor daytime maxima several degrees above the ~30°C August climatology, with ECMWF and Met Office guidance centering on 36–37°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official Milan stations. Minor probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflect residual model spread in afternoon heating and any late-day cloud or advection shifts before resolution by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,857Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over northern Italy are driving trader consensus toward 36°C (41%) or 37°C (31.5%) as the most likely peak temperature in Milan on August 6. Persistent subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong insolation across the Po Valley favor daytime maxima several degrees above the ~30°C August climatology, with ECMWF and Met Office guidance centering on 36–37°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official Milan stations. Minor probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflect residual model spread in afternoon heating and any late-day cloud or advection shifts before resolution by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,857Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems over northern Italy are driving trader consensus toward 36°C (41%) or 37°C (31.5%) as the most likely peak temperature in Milan on August 6. Persistent subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong insolation across the Po Valley favor daytime maxima several degrees above the ~30°C August climatology, with ECMWF and Met Office guidance centering on 36–37°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings at official Milan stations. Minor probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflect residual model spread in afternoon heating and any late-day cloud or advection shifts before resolution by verified observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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