Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
25%
15°C
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
$84 Vol.
1%
13°C
$127 Vol.
5%
14°C
$657 Vol.
25%
15°C
$218 Vol.
46%
16°C
$143 Vol.
27%
17°C
$849 Vol.
1%
18°C
$170 Vol.
1%
19°C
$63 Vol.
1%
20°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,581Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,581Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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