Latest official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a maximum of 30°C in Lucknow on August 6 under generally cloudy skies with intermittent rain or thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. The active monsoon phase brings widespread cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of around 31°C. Recent observations from August 5 showed similar conditions with maxima of 29–31°C and high humidity, reinforcing trader consensus around 29–31°C while assigning lower odds to extremes above 32°C. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 6?
30°C 45%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 9%
BARU
$13,926 Vol.
BARU
$13,926 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
45%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 45%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 9%
BARU
$13,926 Vol.
BARU
$13,926 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$3,576 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,326 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$550 Vol.
1%
27°C
$331 Vol.
2%
28°C
$966 Vol.
9%
29°C
$451 Vol.
25%
30°C
$3,792 Vol.
45%
31°C
$493 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a maximum of 30°C in Lucknow on August 6 under generally cloudy skies with intermittent rain or thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. The active monsoon phase brings widespread cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of around 31°C. Recent observations from August 5 showed similar conditions with maxima of 29–31°C and high humidity, reinforcing trader consensus around 29–31°C while assigning lower odds to extremes above 32°C. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$13,926Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a maximum of 30°C in Lucknow on August 6 under generally cloudy skies with intermittent rain or thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. The active monsoon phase brings widespread cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of around 31°C. Recent observations from August 5 showed similar conditions with maxima of 29–31°C and high humidity, reinforcing trader consensus around 29–31°C while assigning lower odds to extremes above 32°C. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,926Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a maximum of 30°C in Lucknow on August 6 under generally cloudy skies with intermittent rain or thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. The active monsoon phase brings widespread cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of around 31°C. Recent observations from August 5 showed similar conditions with maxima of 29–31°C and high humidity, reinforcing trader consensus around 29–31°C while assigning lower odds to extremes above 32°C. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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