Recent short-range model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a peak temperature near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong daytime insolation typical of midsummer Lombardy. This aligns with the market-implied 52.5% probability on 36°C and secondary support for 37°C and 35°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in 48–72-hour guidance. Urban heat-island amplification from Milan’s dense built environment and Po Valley topography further favors readings at or above the seasonal average of roughly 29–31°C. Any modest downward revision in ensemble means from the next ECMWF or GFS update could shift volume toward 35°C, while continued clear skies would sustain the current skew toward the 36–37°C cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 5?
36°C 53%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
3%
34°C
5%
35°C
20%
36°C
53%
37°C
25%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 53%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
$142 Vol.
3%
34°C
$236 Vol.
5%
35°C
$80 Vol.
20%
36°C
$128 Vol.
53%
37°C
$56 Vol.
25%
38°C
$44 Vol.
4%
39°C
$18 Vol.
2%
40°C
$39 Vol.
1%
41°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a peak temperature near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong daytime insolation typical of midsummer Lombardy. This aligns with the market-implied 52.5% probability on 36°C and secondary support for 37°C and 35°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in 48–72-hour guidance. Urban heat-island amplification from Milan’s dense built environment and Po Valley topography further favors readings at or above the seasonal average of roughly 29–31°C. Any modest downward revision in ensemble means from the next ECMWF or GFS update could shift volume toward 35°C, while continued clear skies would sustain the current skew toward the 36–37°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$865Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a peak temperature near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong daytime insolation typical of midsummer Lombardy. This aligns with the market-implied 52.5% probability on 36°C and secondary support for 37°C and 35°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in 48–72-hour guidance. Urban heat-island amplification from Milan’s dense built environment and Po Valley topography further favors readings at or above the seasonal average of roughly 29–31°C. Any modest downward revision in ensemble means from the next ECMWF or GFS update could shift volume toward 35°C, while continued clear skies would sustain the current skew toward the 36–37°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$865Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a peak temperature near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong daytime insolation typical of midsummer Lombardy. This aligns with the market-implied 52.5% probability on 36°C and secondary support for 37°C and 35°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in 48–72-hour guidance. Urban heat-island amplification from Milan’s dense built environment and Po Valley topography further favors readings at or above the seasonal average of roughly 29–31°C. Any modest downward revision in ensemble means from the next ECMWF or GFS update could shift volume toward 35°C, while continued clear skies would sustain the current skew toward the 36–37°C cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan