Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
33°C 52%
32°C 34%
34°C 6%
31°C 6%
BARU
$10,162 Vol.
BARU
$10,162 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
34%
33°C
52%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 34%
34°C 6%
31°C 6%
BARU
$10,162 Vol.
BARU
$10,162 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$2,297 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$495 Vol.
1%
31°C
$486 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,345 Vol.
34%
33°C
$2,827 Vol.
52%
34°C
$1,058 Vol.
6%
35°C
$285 Vol.
1%
36°C
$341 Vol.
1%
37°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,162Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,162Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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