Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely fall in the 32–34 °C range, driven by a moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover following peak heat on August 5. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective development, and timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 33 °C; drier, clearer conditions could push readings toward 34 °C while increased cloud or showers would cap values near 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local station observations against historical August extremes for the region.