Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 23–24°C peak in Helsinki on August 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models that project daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August. Baltic Sea moderation typically caps extremes, yet variable cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence under a weak high-pressure ridge could allow brief warming to those levels, while increased moisture or frontal passages would favor 22°C or lower. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate given the short lead time, with model runs showing small spreads driven by evolving upper-level patterns rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 6?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 6?
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
25°C 15%
22°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
26%
24°C
34%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
25°C 15%
22°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
18°C or below
$397 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
12%
23°C
$10 Vol.
26%
24°C
$20 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$16 Vol.
3%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 23–24°C peak in Helsinki on August 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models that project daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August. Baltic Sea moderation typically caps extremes, yet variable cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence under a weak high-pressure ridge could allow brief warming to those levels, while increased moisture or frontal passages would favor 22°C or lower. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate given the short lead time, with model runs showing small spreads driven by evolving upper-level patterns rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$490Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 23–24°C peak in Helsinki on August 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models that project daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August. Baltic Sea moderation typically caps extremes, yet variable cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence under a weak high-pressure ridge could allow brief warming to those levels, while increased moisture or frontal passages would favor 22°C or lower. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate given the short lead time, with model runs showing small spreads driven by evolving upper-level patterns rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$490Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 23–24°C peak in Helsinki on August 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models that project daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August. Baltic Sea moderation typically caps extremes, yet variable cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence under a weak high-pressure ridge could allow brief warming to those levels, while increased moisture or frontal passages would favor 22°C or lower. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate given the short lead time, with model runs showing small spreads driven by evolving upper-level patterns rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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