Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 6 under mostly cloudy skies with partial clearing, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 31.8°C. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity near 75-80%, and the urban heat island effect in central districts support this range, while variable cloud cover and limited afternoon sun introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C. Broader 2026 seasonal outlooks from JMA indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan, reinforcing trader focus on the 32-33°C outcomes as the most probable based on current model consensus and observational trends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
32°C 40%
33°C 29%
31°C 17%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
40%
33°C
29%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 29%
31°C 17%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
40%
33°C
29%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 6 under mostly cloudy skies with partial clearing, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 31.8°C. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity near 75-80%, and the urban heat island effect in central districts support this range, while variable cloud cover and limited afternoon sun introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C. Broader 2026 seasonal outlooks from JMA indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan, reinforcing trader focus on the 32-33°C outcomes as the most probable based on current model consensus and observational trends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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