Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
38°C 56%
39°C 39%
37°C 6%
40°C 4%
BARU
$11,156 Vol.
BARU
$11,156 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
56%
39°C
39%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 56%
39°C 39%
37°C 6%
40°C 4%
BARU
$11,156 Vol.
BARU
$11,156 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,796 Vol.
6%
38°C
$3,298 Vol.
56%
39°C
$2,538 Vol.
39%
40°C
$622 Vol.
4%
41°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,156Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,156Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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