Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets project a high near 90–93°F for Central Park on August 7 amid an ongoing warm, humid pattern with a heat advisory in effect through the evening. This drives the near-even market split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–3 degrees. Above-average temperatures for early August, supported by southerly flow and elevated dew points, have kept probabilities for sub-88°F outcomes low while capping upside risk below 95°F absent a stronger ridge. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on August 6–7 will likely refine the exact maximum before markets close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 7?
92-93°F 30%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 25%
86-87°F 9%
$10,534 Vol.
$10,534 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 30%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 25%
86-87°F 9%
$10,534 Vol.
$10,534 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets project a high near 90–93°F for Central Park on August 7 amid an ongoing warm, humid pattern with a heat advisory in effect through the evening. This drives the near-even market split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–3 degrees. Above-average temperatures for early August, supported by southerly flow and elevated dew points, have kept probabilities for sub-88°F outcomes low while capping upside risk below 95°F absent a stronger ridge. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on August 6–7 will likely refine the exact maximum before markets close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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