Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels above 70% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August conditions in the region feature average overnight lows of 25–27°C, with recent model runs showing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors align with historical East Asian summer patterns under strong high-pressure influence, positioning 28°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes like 29°C reflect minor forecast variability in steering patterns and moisture. Upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
28°C 36%
29°C 27%
26°C 9%
27°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
47%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 27%
26°C 9%
27°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$177 Vol.
1%
25°C
$232 Vol.
2%
26°C
$157 Vol.
9%
27°C
$243 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,177 Vol.
47%
29°C
$2,375 Vol.
27%
30°C
$701 Vol.
5%
31°C
$239 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels above 70% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August conditions in the region feature average overnight lows of 25–27°C, with recent model runs showing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors align with historical East Asian summer patterns under strong high-pressure influence, positioning 28°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes like 29°C reflect minor forecast variability in steering patterns and moisture. Upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,728Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels above 70% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August conditions in the region feature average overnight lows of 25–27°C, with recent model runs showing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors align with historical East Asian summer patterns under strong high-pressure influence, positioning 28°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes like 29°C reflect minor forecast variability in steering patterns and moisture. Upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,728Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels above 70% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August conditions in the region feature average overnight lows of 25–27°C, with recent model runs showing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors align with historical East Asian summer patterns under strong high-pressure influence, positioning 28°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes like 29°C reflect minor forecast variability in steering patterns and moisture. Upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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