Forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects that amplify temperatures above the climatological August average of 33–35°C. Limited day-to-day variability and subsidence patterns support this outcome, with some ensemble runs allowing brief spikes toward 39°C if cloud cover remains minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 38°C versus 23.5% for 37°C, aligns with these official guidance updates and historical analogs for similar high-pressure setups in the region. New model runs expected overnight could refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 16%
36°C 6%
BARU
$15,256 Vol.
BARU
$15,256 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
6%
37°C
24%
38°C
55%
39°C
16%
40°C
5%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 16%
36°C 6%
BARU
$15,256 Vol.
BARU
$15,256 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$549 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,078 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,137 Vol.
6%
37°C
$1,411 Vol.
24%
38°C
$3,475 Vol.
55%
39°C
$1,424 Vol.
16%
40°C
$1,247 Vol.
5%
41°C or higher
$2,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects that amplify temperatures above the climatological August average of 33–35°C. Limited day-to-day variability and subsidence patterns support this outcome, with some ensemble runs allowing brief spikes toward 39°C if cloud cover remains minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 38°C versus 23.5% for 37°C, aligns with these official guidance updates and historical analogs for similar high-pressure setups in the region. New model runs expected overnight could refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$15,256Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects that amplify temperatures above the climatological August average of 33–35°C. Limited day-to-day variability and subsidence patterns support this outcome, with some ensemble runs allowing brief spikes toward 39°C if cloud cover remains minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 38°C versus 23.5% for 37°C, aligns with these official guidance updates and historical analogs for similar high-pressure setups in the region. New model runs expected overnight could refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,256Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 under persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects that amplify temperatures above the climatological August average of 33–35°C. Limited day-to-day variability and subsidence patterns support this outcome, with some ensemble runs allowing brief spikes toward 39°C if cloud cover remains minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 38°C versus 23.5% for 37°C, aligns with these official guidance updates and historical analogs for similar high-pressure setups in the region. New model runs expected overnight could refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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