Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures for Toronto on August 9, centered on 27–29°C and producing the closely matched market distribution. A strengthening surface high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave energy explain the spread among the top three outcomes. Official meteorological guidance shows modest run-to-run variability typical of late-summer conditions, keeping implied probabilities balanced rather than favoring any single threshold. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus against climatological baselines for the region, with resolution expected once the daily maximum is officially recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 9?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 9?
28°C 42%
29°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
24%
28°C
42%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 42%
29°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$32 Vol.
1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
2%
26°C
$179 Vol.
5%
27°C
$512 Vol.
24%
28°C
$109 Vol.
42%
29°C
$61 Vol.
27%
30°C
$44 Vol.
5%
31°C
$68 Vol.
1%
32°C
$57 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures for Toronto on August 9, centered on 27–29°C and producing the closely matched market distribution. A strengthening surface high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave energy explain the spread among the top three outcomes. Official meteorological guidance shows modest run-to-run variability typical of late-summer conditions, keeping implied probabilities balanced rather than favoring any single threshold. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus against climatological baselines for the region, with resolution expected once the daily maximum is officially recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,188Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures for Toronto on August 9, centered on 27–29°C and producing the closely matched market distribution. A strengthening surface high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave energy explain the spread among the top three outcomes. Official meteorological guidance shows modest run-to-run variability typical of late-summer conditions, keeping implied probabilities balanced rather than favoring any single threshold. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus against climatological baselines for the region, with resolution expected once the daily maximum is officially recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,188Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate a tight cluster of possible maximum temperatures for Toronto on August 9, centered on 27–29°C and producing the closely matched market distribution. A strengthening surface high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave energy explain the spread among the top three outcomes. Official meteorological guidance shows modest run-to-run variability typical of late-summer conditions, keeping implied probabilities balanced rather than favoring any single threshold. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus against climatological baselines for the region, with resolution expected once the daily maximum is officially recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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