Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models indicate mainly fine conditions with weak steering flow and moderate humidity for August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 34–35°C amid the urban heat island effect. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 36°C or above reflecting limited intensification potential from cloud cover or isolated showers. Official forecasts show slight model divergence on peak solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures provides broader context. The final HKO maximum reading, measured at the King’s Park reference station, will resolve the contract, and traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and any updates on convective timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
34°C 35%
35°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
35%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$452 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$701 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,048 Vol.
35%
35°C
$811 Vol.
33%
36°C
$623 Vol.
14%
37°C
$672 Vol.
7%
38°C
$1,513 Vol.
7%
39°C or higher
$352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models indicate mainly fine conditions with weak steering flow and moderate humidity for August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 34–35°C amid the urban heat island effect. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 36°C or above reflecting limited intensification potential from cloud cover or isolated showers. Official forecasts show slight model divergence on peak solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures provides broader context. The final HKO maximum reading, measured at the King’s Park reference station, will resolve the contract, and traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and any updates on convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,323Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models indicate mainly fine conditions with weak steering flow and moderate humidity for August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 34–35°C amid the urban heat island effect. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 36°C or above reflecting limited intensification potential from cloud cover or isolated showers. Official forecasts show slight model divergence on peak solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures provides broader context. The final HKO maximum reading, measured at the King’s Park reference station, will resolve the contract, and traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and any updates on convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,323Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models indicate mainly fine conditions with weak steering flow and moderate humidity for August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 34–35°C amid the urban heat island effect. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 36°C or above reflecting limited intensification potential from cloud cover or isolated showers. Official forecasts show slight model divergence on peak solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures provides broader context. The final HKO maximum reading, measured at the King’s Park reference station, will resolve the contract, and traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and any updates on convective timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan