Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Russia through August 10, supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this lead time, placing the most probable outcomes in the 23–25 °C range and limiting upside risk from advection of warmer air or downslope effects. Climatological normals for early August in Moscow center near 22–24 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly that has kept probabilities concentrated on these three bins. Updated model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine any minor timing shifts in the thermal maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
24°C 43%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
43%
25°C
31%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
20°C or below
$42 Vol.
1%
21°C
$51 Vol.
1%
22°C
$103 Vol.
4%
23°C
$169 Vol.
20%
24°C
$80 Vol.
43%
25°C
$180 Vol.
31%
26°C
$66 Vol.
6%
27°C
$52 Vol.
1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
1%
29°C
$55 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Russia through August 10, supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this lead time, placing the most probable outcomes in the 23–25 °C range and limiting upside risk from advection of warmer air or downslope effects. Climatological normals for early August in Moscow center near 22–24 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly that has kept probabilities concentrated on these three bins. Updated model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine any minor timing shifts in the thermal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$983Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Russia through August 10, supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this lead time, placing the most probable outcomes in the 23–25 °C range and limiting upside risk from advection of warmer air or downslope effects. Climatological normals for early August in Moscow center near 22–24 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly that has kept probabilities concentrated on these three bins. Updated model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine any minor timing shifts in the thermal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$983Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Russia through August 10, supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this lead time, placing the most probable outcomes in the 23–25 °C range and limiting upside risk from advection of warmer air or downslope effects. Climatological normals for early August in Moscow center near 22–24 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly that has kept probabilities concentrated on these three bins. Updated model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine any minor timing shifts in the thermal maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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