Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Moscow's August 8 maximum temperature likely peaking near 24–25°C, driven by a shift to cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover following several days of 28–31°C readings. Official guidance from sources such as Roshydromet and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability keeping afternoon temperatures below historical late-summer peaks. Traders have clustered probability on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow and current surface observations support only marginal warming potential before evening cooling begins. Updated model runs overnight could refine the exact peak, but the consensus points to values near the long-term August average rather than a significant deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 8?
24°C 50%
25°C 38%
23°C 8%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
50%
25°C
38%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 38%
23°C 8%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
20°C or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$653 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,024 Vol.
8%
24°C
$2,899 Vol.
50%
25°C
$1,246 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,088 Vol.
7%
27°C
$601 Vol.
1%
28°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$536 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Moscow's August 8 maximum temperature likely peaking near 24–25°C, driven by a shift to cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover following several days of 28–31°C readings. Official guidance from sources such as Roshydromet and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability keeping afternoon temperatures below historical late-summer peaks. Traders have clustered probability on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow and current surface observations support only marginal warming potential before evening cooling begins. Updated model runs overnight could refine the exact peak, but the consensus points to values near the long-term August average rather than a significant deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,719Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Moscow's August 8 maximum temperature likely peaking near 24–25°C, driven by a shift to cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover following several days of 28–31°C readings. Official guidance from sources such as Roshydromet and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability keeping afternoon temperatures below historical late-summer peaks. Traders have clustered probability on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow and current surface observations support only marginal warming potential before evening cooling begins. Updated model runs overnight could refine the exact peak, but the consensus points to values near the long-term August average rather than a significant deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,719Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Moscow's August 8 maximum temperature likely peaking near 24–25°C, driven by a shift to cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover following several days of 28–31°C readings. Official guidance from sources such as Roshydromet and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability keeping afternoon temperatures below historical late-summer peaks. Traders have clustered probability on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow and current surface observations support only marginal warming potential before evening cooling begins. Updated model runs overnight could refine the exact peak, but the consensus points to values near the long-term August average rather than a significant deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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