Recent NWS guidance shows elevated overnight lows around 76–77°F for New York City on August 7 amid a heat wave, with Thursday night forecast at 76°F under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent southerly winds, dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling from humidity and cloud cover keep minimum temperatures above the climatological average near 70°F. Trader consensus clusters on 76–79°F outcomes because ensemble models agree on modest overnight drops while differing on storm timing and exact cooling rates; any earlier clearing or stronger winds could push the low lower, whereas sustained clouds and moisture would hold it higher. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 11%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 11%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS guidance shows elevated overnight lows around 76–77°F for New York City on August 7 amid a heat wave, with Thursday night forecast at 76°F under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent southerly winds, dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling from humidity and cloud cover keep minimum temperatures above the climatological average near 70°F. Trader consensus clusters on 76–79°F outcomes because ensemble models agree on modest overnight drops while differing on storm timing and exact cooling rates; any earlier clearing or stronger winds could push the low lower, whereas sustained clouds and moisture would hold it higher. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan