Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daytime high near seasonal norms of 83–85°F for Chicago on August 7, with trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflecting minor forecast spread. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation under partly to mostly sunny skies versus increased cloud cover or a weak lake breeze that could cap readings in the mid-80s, alongside boundary-layer mixing and any subtle frontal timing that influences peak temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August variability around the 83.5°F normal supports the tight clustering, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus NWS updates will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
$209 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$404 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$116 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$97 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$291 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$586 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$579 Vol.
41%
88-89°F
$143 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$131 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$63 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$368 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daytime high near seasonal norms of 83–85°F for Chicago on August 7, with trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflecting minor forecast spread. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation under partly to mostly sunny skies versus increased cloud cover or a weak lake breeze that could cap readings in the mid-80s, alongside boundary-layer mixing and any subtle frontal timing that influences peak temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August variability around the 83.5°F normal supports the tight clustering, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus NWS updates will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,987Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daytime high near seasonal norms of 83–85°F for Chicago on August 7, with trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflecting minor forecast spread. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation under partly to mostly sunny skies versus increased cloud cover or a weak lake breeze that could cap readings in the mid-80s, alongside boundary-layer mixing and any subtle frontal timing that influences peak temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August variability around the 83.5°F normal supports the tight clustering, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus NWS updates will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,987Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daytime high near seasonal norms of 83–85°F for Chicago on August 7, with trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflecting minor forecast spread. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation under partly to mostly sunny skies versus increased cloud cover or a weak lake breeze that could cap readings in the mid-80s, alongside boundary-layer mixing and any subtle frontal timing that influences peak temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August variability around the 83.5°F normal supports the tight clustering, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus NWS updates will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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