Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF position Wuhan's August 6 high near 35–37°C amid a persistent subtropical ridge and Yangtze valley moisture. Thunderstorm potential and increased cloud cover from diurnal convection are the key variables capping peaks, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling limit surface heating compared to clearer conditions that could allow 37°C. Historical August baselines show typical highs of 35–39°C under similar monsoon patterns, with light winds and high humidity amplifying urban heat retention. The closely matched market odds for 36°C and 37°C reflect model spread on shower timing and intensity before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated guidance later today or early August 6 will likely refine resolution probabilities around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
36°C 40%
37°C 39%
35°C 16%
38°C 6%
$16,987 Vol.
$16,987 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
16%
36°C
40%
37°C
39%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 39%
35°C 16%
38°C 6%
$16,987 Vol.
$16,987 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
16%
36°C
40%
37°C
39%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF position Wuhan's August 6 high near 35–37°C amid a persistent subtropical ridge and Yangtze valley moisture. Thunderstorm potential and increased cloud cover from diurnal convection are the key variables capping peaks, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling limit surface heating compared to clearer conditions that could allow 37°C. Historical August baselines show typical highs of 35–39°C under similar monsoon patterns, with light winds and high humidity amplifying urban heat retention. The closely matched market odds for 36°C and 37°C reflect model spread on shower timing and intensity before the daily maximum is recorded. Updated guidance later today or early August 6 will likely refine resolution probabilities around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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