Recent short-range forecast runs from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover expected on August 8, supporting peak temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects small but persistent differences in model timing of maximum insolation and the strength of any afternoon sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Historical August climatology places the typical daily maximum near 28–30 °C, so current guidance sits close to seasonal norms without strong anomalous signals. Updated model cycles and local Turkish Meteorological Service observations over the next 24 hours will be the key data points likely to refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
28°C 42%
29°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
12%
28°C
42%
29°C
36%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
$396 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$762 Vol.
12%
28°C
$966 Vol.
42%
29°C
$805 Vol.
36%
30°C
$452 Vol.
9%
31°C
$357 Vol.
2%
32°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$897 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast runs from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover expected on August 8, supporting peak temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects small but persistent differences in model timing of maximum insolation and the strength of any afternoon sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Historical August climatology places the typical daily maximum near 28–30 °C, so current guidance sits close to seasonal norms without strong anomalous signals. Updated model cycles and local Turkish Meteorological Service observations over the next 24 hours will be the key data points likely to refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,239Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast runs from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover expected on August 8, supporting peak temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects small but persistent differences in model timing of maximum insolation and the strength of any afternoon sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Historical August climatology places the typical daily maximum near 28–30 °C, so current guidance sits close to seasonal norms without strong anomalous signals. Updated model cycles and local Turkish Meteorological Service observations over the next 24 hours will be the key data points likely to refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,239Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast runs from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover expected on August 8, supporting peak temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects small but persistent differences in model timing of maximum insolation and the strength of any afternoon sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Historical August climatology places the typical daily maximum near 28–30 °C, so current guidance sits close to seasonal norms without strong anomalous signals. Updated model cycles and local Turkish Meteorological Service observations over the next 24 hours will be the key data points likely to refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan