Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 26–28°C in Incheon on August 8 because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points near 23°C, limiting further drops. Typical August climatology places average minimums around 22–24°C, but persistent warm advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated soil moisture from recent rainfall have kept recent observed lows 2–3°C above normal, supporting the market’s central cluster. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any late-model revisions to cloud cover or wind speed, with updated KMA forecasts expected within the next 12–18 hours before the minimum is recorded between 3–9 a.m. KST.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
27°C 40%
26°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
32%
27°C
40%
28°C
24%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$138 Vol.
1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
1%
23°C
$315 Vol.
2%
24°C
$178 Vol.
4%
25°C
$58 Vol.
2%
26°C
$311 Vol.
32%
27°C
$273 Vol.
40%
28°C
$883 Vol.
24%
29°C
$166 Vol.
5%
30°C
$485 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 26–28°C in Incheon on August 8 because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points near 23°C, limiting further drops. Typical August climatology places average minimums around 22–24°C, but persistent warm advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated soil moisture from recent rainfall have kept recent observed lows 2–3°C above normal, supporting the market’s central cluster. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any late-model revisions to cloud cover or wind speed, with updated KMA forecasts expected within the next 12–18 hours before the minimum is recorded between 3–9 a.m. KST.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,242Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 26–28°C in Incheon on August 8 because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points near 23°C, limiting further drops. Typical August climatology places average minimums around 22–24°C, but persistent warm advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated soil moisture from recent rainfall have kept recent observed lows 2–3°C above normal, supporting the market’s central cluster. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any late-model revisions to cloud cover or wind speed, with updated KMA forecasts expected within the next 12–18 hours before the minimum is recorded between 3–9 a.m. KST.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,242Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 26–28°C in Incheon on August 8 because short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points near 23°C, limiting further drops. Typical August climatology places average minimums around 22–24°C, but persistent warm advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated soil moisture from recent rainfall have kept recent observed lows 2–3°C above normal, supporting the market’s central cluster. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any late-model revisions to cloud cover or wind speed, with updated KMA forecasts expected within the next 12–18 hours before the minimum is recorded between 3–9 a.m. KST.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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