Current forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates overnight lows in Paris on August 9 will likely settle between 17–18°C under stabilizing high pressure following recent heatwave conditions, limiting radiative cooling and maintaining mild boundary-layer temperatures. Light winds, moderate humidity, and the urban heat island effect further reduce the potential for sharper drops, while any increased cloud cover or residual warm advection could push minima toward 19°C. Traders weigh these factors against climatological August averages near 15–16°C, with latest model runs expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 9?
18°C 36%
17°C 32%
16°C 15%
19°C 15%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
32%
18°C
36%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 36%
17°C 32%
16°C 15%
19°C 15%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
32%
18°C
36%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates overnight lows in Paris on August 9 will likely settle between 17–18°C under stabilizing high pressure following recent heatwave conditions, limiting radiative cooling and maintaining mild boundary-layer temperatures. Light winds, moderate humidity, and the urban heat island effect further reduce the potential for sharper drops, while any increased cloud cover or residual warm advection could push minima toward 19°C. Traders weigh these factors against climatological August averages near 15–16°C, with latest model runs expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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