Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models point to overnight radiative cooling under predominantly clear to partly cloudy conditions, positioning Paris minimum temperatures on August 8 near the long-term climatological average of 14–15°C. Persistent high pressure and light winds limit mixing, while urban heat island effects from the city core moderate extremes. Earlier summer heatwave patterns have subsided without introducing anomalous warm advection, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–15°C outcomes at market-implied odds exceeding 90% combined. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency briefings expected overnight will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 49%
13°C 23%
15°C 21%
16°C 10%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
23%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
10%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 49%
13°C 23%
15°C 21%
16°C 10%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
23%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
10%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models point to overnight radiative cooling under predominantly clear to partly cloudy conditions, positioning Paris minimum temperatures on August 8 near the long-term climatological average of 14–15°C. Persistent high pressure and light winds limit mixing, while urban heat island effects from the city core moderate extremes. Earlier summer heatwave patterns have subsided without introducing anomalous warm advection, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–15°C outcomes at market-implied odds exceeding 90% combined. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency briefings expected overnight will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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