Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 8, with trader consensus split among 35–37°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in afternoon peak conditions. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and potential light precipitation or thunderstorms could cap intensification below historical August extremes, while urban heat effects and clear-sky solar heating support the leading 36°C implied probability. High humidity above 75% typically elevates perceived temperatures without altering official maximum readings. New model runs or real-time observations over the next 24 hours may shift probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
BARU
$14,070 Vol.
BARU
$14,070 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
17%
35°C
25%
36°C
32%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
BARU
$14,070 Vol.
BARU
$14,070 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
$645 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,110 Vol.
7%
34°C
$1,053 Vol.
17%
35°C
$1,460 Vol.
25%
36°C
$1,548 Vol.
32%
37°C
$1,153 Vol.
16%
38°C
$816 Vol.
3%
39°C
$593 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 8, with trader consensus split among 35–37°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in afternoon peak conditions. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and potential light precipitation or thunderstorms could cap intensification below historical August extremes, while urban heat effects and clear-sky solar heating support the leading 36°C implied probability. High humidity above 75% typically elevates perceived temperatures without altering official maximum readings. New model runs or real-time observations over the next 24 hours may shift probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$14,070Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 8, with trader consensus split among 35–37°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in afternoon peak conditions. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and potential light precipitation or thunderstorms could cap intensification below historical August extremes, while urban heat effects and clear-sky solar heating support the leading 36°C implied probability. High humidity above 75% typically elevates perceived temperatures without altering official maximum readings. New model runs or real-time observations over the next 24 hours may shift probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,070Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 8, with trader consensus split among 35–37°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in afternoon peak conditions. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and potential light precipitation or thunderstorms could cap intensification below historical August extremes, while urban heat effects and clear-sky solar heating support the leading 36°C implied probability. High humidity above 75% typically elevates perceived temperatures without altering official maximum readings. New model runs or real-time observations over the next 24 hours may shift probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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