Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are positioning Seoul-Incheon maxima near 34–36°C for August 8, with KMA guidance and model consensus projecting daytime peaks in this range amid clear skies, subsidence warming, and high humidity. Emergency heatwave alerts remain active across the capital region, consistent with recent observations of 38–39°C in Seoul districts and national records exceeding 42°C earlier in the week. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further support the market’s leading implied probabilities at 35°C (40.5%), 34°C (26.5%), and 36°C (16.5%), while limiting upside to 37°C or higher. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
35°C 41%
34°C 27%
36°C 18%
33°C 8%
BARU
$18,719 Vol.
BARU
$18,719 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
27%
35°C
41%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
34°C 27%
36°C 18%
33°C 8%
BARU
$18,719 Vol.
BARU
$18,719 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$1,608 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,268 Vol.
3%
33°C
$2,047 Vol.
8%
34°C
$2,164 Vol.
27%
35°C
$859 Vol.
41%
36°C
$3,883 Vol.
18%
37°C
$4,238 Vol.
4%
38°C
$1,258 Vol.
2%
39°C
$771 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are positioning Seoul-Incheon maxima near 34–36°C for August 8, with KMA guidance and model consensus projecting daytime peaks in this range amid clear skies, subsidence warming, and high humidity. Emergency heatwave alerts remain active across the capital region, consistent with recent observations of 38–39°C in Seoul districts and national records exceeding 42°C earlier in the week. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further support the market’s leading implied probabilities at 35°C (40.5%), 34°C (26.5%), and 36°C (16.5%), while limiting upside to 37°C or higher. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,719Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are positioning Seoul-Incheon maxima near 34–36°C for August 8, with KMA guidance and model consensus projecting daytime peaks in this range amid clear skies, subsidence warming, and high humidity. Emergency heatwave alerts remain active across the capital region, consistent with recent observations of 38–39°C in Seoul districts and national records exceeding 42°C earlier in the week. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further support the market’s leading implied probabilities at 35°C (40.5%), 34°C (26.5%), and 36°C (16.5%), while limiting upside to 37°C or higher. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,719Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are positioning Seoul-Incheon maxima near 34–36°C for August 8, with KMA guidance and model consensus projecting daytime peaks in this range amid clear skies, subsidence warming, and high humidity. Emergency heatwave alerts remain active across the capital region, consistent with recent observations of 38–39°C in Seoul districts and national records exceeding 42°C earlier in the week. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further support the market’s leading implied probabilities at 35°C (40.5%), 34°C (26.5%), and 36°C (16.5%), while limiting upside to 37°C or higher. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and any late-model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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