Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Chengdu’s August 6 high reflects the latest numerical weather prediction runs showing a subtropical ridge maintaining warm, humid conditions over the Sichuan Basin, with daytime maxima near 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective showers—common in the region’s summer monsoon regime—introduce variability by limiting solar heating or triggering brief cooling outflows, keeping the distribution tight across adjacent temperature bins. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights typical August baselines of 30–34°C highs, with model spread driven by the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
31°C 33%
32°C 22%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
15%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
32°C 22%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
$459 Vol.
1%
26°C
$21 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$298 Vol.
5%
29°C
$119 Vol.
9%
30°C
$25 Vol.
16%
31°C
$801 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$23 Vol.
15%
34°C
$475 Vol.
11%
35°C or higher
$205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Chengdu’s August 6 high reflects the latest numerical weather prediction runs showing a subtropical ridge maintaining warm, humid conditions over the Sichuan Basin, with daytime maxima near 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective showers—common in the region’s summer monsoon regime—introduce variability by limiting solar heating or triggering brief cooling outflows, keeping the distribution tight across adjacent temperature bins. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights typical August baselines of 30–34°C highs, with model spread driven by the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,436Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Chengdu’s August 6 high reflects the latest numerical weather prediction runs showing a subtropical ridge maintaining warm, humid conditions over the Sichuan Basin, with daytime maxima near 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective showers—common in the region’s summer monsoon regime—introduce variability by limiting solar heating or triggering brief cooling outflows, keeping the distribution tight across adjacent temperature bins. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights typical August baselines of 30–34°C highs, with model spread driven by the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,436Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Chengdu’s August 6 high reflects the latest numerical weather prediction runs showing a subtropical ridge maintaining warm, humid conditions over the Sichuan Basin, with daytime maxima near 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective showers—common in the region’s summer monsoon regime—introduce variability by limiting solar heating or triggering brief cooling outflows, keeping the distribution tight across adjacent temperature bins. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights typical August baselines of 30–34°C highs, with model spread driven by the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan