Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and the ongoing rainy season, featuring frequent afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature clustered near 24°C as the market favorite at 45% implied probability. Historical averages for early August show daytime highs typically between 22–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather indicating similar ranges for the date amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Recent patterns of consistent afternoon precipitation have reinforced this narrow band, reducing upside potential for 26°C or higher while supporting the combined 75.5% probability on 24–25°C outcomes. Daily variability in storm timing introduces modest uncertainty, though official forecasts point to no major deviations from seasonal baselines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
24°C 45%
25°C 30%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
$13,082 Vol.
$13,082 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
45%
25°C
30%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
25°C 30%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
$13,082 Vol.
$13,082 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$926 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$552 Vol.
1%
21°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$924 Vol.
5%
23°C
$627 Vol.
18%
24°C
$2,347 Vol.
45%
25°C
$1,697 Vol.
30%
26°C
$1,761 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$1,104 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and the ongoing rainy season, featuring frequent afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature clustered near 24°C as the market favorite at 45% implied probability. Historical averages for early August show daytime highs typically between 22–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather indicating similar ranges for the date amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Recent patterns of consistent afternoon precipitation have reinforced this narrow band, reducing upside potential for 26°C or higher while supporting the combined 75.5% probability on 24–25°C outcomes. Daily variability in storm timing introduces modest uncertainty, though official forecasts point to no major deviations from seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$13,082Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and the ongoing rainy season, featuring frequent afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature clustered near 24°C as the market favorite at 45% implied probability. Historical averages for early August show daytime highs typically between 22–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather indicating similar ranges for the date amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Recent patterns of consistent afternoon precipitation have reinforced this narrow band, reducing upside potential for 26°C or higher while supporting the combined 75.5% probability on 24–25°C outcomes. Daily variability in storm timing introduces modest uncertainty, though official forecasts point to no major deviations from seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,082Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and the ongoing rainy season, featuring frequent afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature clustered near 24°C as the market favorite at 45% implied probability. Historical averages for early August show daytime highs typically between 22–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather indicating similar ranges for the date amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Recent patterns of consistent afternoon precipitation have reinforced this narrow band, reducing upside potential for 26°C or higher while supporting the combined 75.5% probability on 24–25°C outcomes. Daily variability in storm timing introduces modest uncertainty, though official forecasts point to no major deviations from seasonal baselines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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