Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 Vol.
$63,036 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 Vol.
$63,036 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,900 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,057 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,010 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,597 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,464 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,514 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,430 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$13,027 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,281 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,606 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,151 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$63,036Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,036Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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