Current short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's August 18 high will most likely fall between 22–24 °C under typical late-summer synoptic conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Model consensus places the maximum near 23 °C, aligning with the market's leading 41 % implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting elevated odds for adjacent 22 °C and 24 °C bins. Recent runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor spread from cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture variations that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (mean daily maximum ~22–23 °C) reinforces this central tendency, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low absent an unexpected warm advection event before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
23°C 41%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
21°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
12%
21°C
13%
22°C
28%
23°C
41%
24°C
21%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 41%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
21°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
$4 Vol.
5%
19°C
$75 Vol.
7%
20°C
$27 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$5 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$90 Vol.
6%
26°C
$94 Vol.
6%
27°C
$15 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's August 18 high will most likely fall between 22–24 °C under typical late-summer synoptic conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Model consensus places the maximum near 23 °C, aligning with the market's leading 41 % implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting elevated odds for adjacent 22 °C and 24 °C bins. Recent runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor spread from cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture variations that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (mean daily maximum ~22–23 °C) reinforces this central tendency, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low absent an unexpected warm advection event before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$319Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's August 18 high will most likely fall between 22–24 °C under typical late-summer synoptic conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Model consensus places the maximum near 23 °C, aligning with the market's leading 41 % implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting elevated odds for adjacent 22 °C and 24 °C bins. Recent runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor spread from cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture variations that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (mean daily maximum ~22–23 °C) reinforces this central tendency, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low absent an unexpected warm advection event before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's August 18 high will most likely fall between 22–24 °C under typical late-summer synoptic conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Model consensus places the maximum near 23 °C, aligning with the market's leading 41 % implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting elevated odds for adjacent 22 °C and 24 °C bins. Recent runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor spread from cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture variations that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (mean daily maximum ~22–23 °C) reinforces this central tendency, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low absent an unexpected warm advection event before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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