Current ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological centers position Moscow's August 17 high near 24–25 °C, aligning with the market's heaviest implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 22–24 °C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence, with limited potential for strong ridging or cold advection this far ahead. Recent model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that should cap daytime heating without significant suppression, keeping values within the historical interquartile range. Shifts in the 48-hour forecast window or updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 45%
25°C 19%
23°C 15%
26°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
15%
24°C
45%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
7%
24°C 45%
25°C 19%
23°C 15%
26°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
6%
20°C
$20 Vol.
6%
21°C
$20 Vol.
8%
22°C
$125 Vol.
7%
23°C
$141 Vol.
15%
24°C
$7 Vol.
45%
25°C
$10 Vol.
19%
26°C
$125 Vol.
9%
27°C
$126 Vol.
3%
28°C
$88 Vol.
7%
29°C or higher
$15 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological centers position Moscow's August 17 high near 24–25 °C, aligning with the market's heaviest implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 22–24 °C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence, with limited potential for strong ridging or cold advection this far ahead. Recent model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that should cap daytime heating without significant suppression, keeping values within the historical interquartile range. Shifts in the 48-hour forecast window or updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$571Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological centers position Moscow's August 17 high near 24–25 °C, aligning with the market's heaviest implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 22–24 °C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence, with limited potential for strong ridging or cold advection this far ahead. Recent model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that should cap daytime heating without significant suppression, keeping values within the historical interquartile range. Shifts in the 48-hour forecast window or updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$571Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological centers position Moscow's August 17 high near 24–25 °C, aligning with the market's heaviest implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 22–24 °C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence, with limited potential for strong ridging or cold advection this far ahead. Recent model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that should cap daytime heating without significant suppression, keeping values within the historical interquartile range. Shifts in the 48-hour forecast window or updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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