Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high around 33–36°C for August 17, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Convective activity and steering patterns introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping market-implied odds closely split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while official high-temperature warnings and short-range model updates remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
35°C 29%
36°C 27%
34°C 20%
37°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
10%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
27%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 29%
36°C 27%
34°C 20%
37°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
29°C or below
$101 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1 Vol.
1%
32°C
$49 Vol.
5%
33°C
$93 Vol.
10%
34°C
$78 Vol.
20%
35°C
$72 Vol.
29%
36°C
$83 Vol.
27%
37°C
$191 Vol.
12%
38°C
$16 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high around 33–36°C for August 17, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Convective activity and steering patterns introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping market-implied odds closely split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while official high-temperature warnings and short-range model updates remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$721Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high around 33–36°C for August 17, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Convective activity and steering patterns introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping market-implied odds closely split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while official high-temperature warnings and short-range model updates remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$721Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high around 33–36°C for August 17, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Convective activity and steering patterns introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping market-implied odds closely split between 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while official high-temperature warnings and short-range model updates remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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