Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 17 points to a sunny, hot day with highs near 93–95°F, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features a normal high of 89–91°F, but persistent warm air and light winds have supported recent readings in the low-to-mid 90s, with July 2026 ranking as the second-hottest on record. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may slightly cap peak temperatures, while any delay in convective initiation could allow readings to reach the upper 90s. Official resolution will use the daily maximum at Miami International Airport, with final NWS verification expected shortly after sunset on the 17th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 17?
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 36%
90-91°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 36%
90-91°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$57 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$128 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$320 Vol.
49%
96-97°F
$151 Vol.
36%
98-99°F
$91 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$5 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$5 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$5 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 17 points to a sunny, hot day with highs near 93–95°F, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features a normal high of 89–91°F, but persistent warm air and light winds have supported recent readings in the low-to-mid 90s, with July 2026 ranking as the second-hottest on record. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may slightly cap peak temperatures, while any delay in convective initiation could allow readings to reach the upper 90s. Official resolution will use the daily maximum at Miami International Airport, with final NWS verification expected shortly after sunset on the 17th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$817Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 17 points to a sunny, hot day with highs near 93–95°F, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features a normal high of 89–91°F, but persistent warm air and light winds have supported recent readings in the low-to-mid 90s, with July 2026 ranking as the second-hottest on record. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may slightly cap peak temperatures, while any delay in convective initiation could allow readings to reach the upper 90s. Official resolution will use the daily maximum at Miami International Airport, with final NWS verification expected shortly after sunset on the 17th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$817Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 17 points to a sunny, hot day with highs near 93–95°F, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features a normal high of 89–91°F, but persistent warm air and light winds have supported recent readings in the low-to-mid 90s, with July 2026 ranking as the second-hottest on record. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may slightly cap peak temperatures, while any delay in convective initiation could allow readings to reach the upper 90s. Official resolution will use the daily maximum at Miami International Airport, with final NWS verification expected shortly after sunset on the 17th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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