Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to Tokyo highs near 30–31°C on August 16 amid a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer temperatures linked to persistent El Niño conditions. Short-term model consensus shows partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which could cap afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–85%) support readings at or above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because subtle differences in steering winds, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from heavier rain. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
30°C 39%
29°C 38%
28°C 12%
31°C 9%
BARU
$10,991 Vol.
BARU
$10,991 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
38%
30°C
39%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 38%
28°C 12%
31°C 9%
BARU
$10,991 Vol.
BARU
$10,991 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
$926 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$393 Vol.
1%
27°C
$993 Vol.
4%
28°C
$696 Vol.
12%
29°C
$2,026 Vol.
38%
30°C
$2,465 Vol.
39%
31°C
$559 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,309 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,021 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to Tokyo highs near 30–31°C on August 16 amid a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer temperatures linked to persistent El Niño conditions. Short-term model consensus shows partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which could cap afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–85%) support readings at or above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because subtle differences in steering winds, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from heavier rain. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,991Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to Tokyo highs near 30–31°C on August 16 amid a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer temperatures linked to persistent El Niño conditions. Short-term model consensus shows partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which could cap afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–85%) support readings at or above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because subtle differences in steering winds, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from heavier rain. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,991Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to Tokyo highs near 30–31°C on August 16 amid a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer temperatures linked to persistent El Niño conditions. Short-term model consensus shows partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, which could cap afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–85%) support readings at or above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–30°C because subtle differences in steering winds, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or downside from heavier rain. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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