Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF place Istanbul’s August 16 maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with mid-August climatology and positioning these values as the market’s leading outcomes at 48 %, 26.5 %, and 26 %. Late-summer atmospheric conditions feature moderate northerly flow and sea-breeze circulation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea that cap daytime heating, while partial cloud cover further limits insolation. Recent model runs show little deviation from these ranges, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore weighting ensemble consensus and historical analogs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by the Istanbul meteorological station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 54%
27°C 47%
25°C 27%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
48%
27°C
27%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
26°C 54%
27°C 47%
25°C 27%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
6%
23°C
$10 Vol.
4%
24°C
$3 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$12 Vol.
48%
27°C
$25 Vol.
27%
28°C
$1 Vol.
10%
29°C
$19 Vol.
2%
30°C
$10 Vol.
6%
31°C
$10 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF place Istanbul’s August 16 maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with mid-August climatology and positioning these values as the market’s leading outcomes at 48 %, 26.5 %, and 26 %. Late-summer atmospheric conditions feature moderate northerly flow and sea-breeze circulation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea that cap daytime heating, while partial cloud cover further limits insolation. Recent model runs show little deviation from these ranges, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore weighting ensemble consensus and historical analogs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by the Istanbul meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$116Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF place Istanbul’s August 16 maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with mid-August climatology and positioning these values as the market’s leading outcomes at 48 %, 26.5 %, and 26 %. Late-summer atmospheric conditions feature moderate northerly flow and sea-breeze circulation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea that cap daytime heating, while partial cloud cover further limits insolation. Recent model runs show little deviation from these ranges, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore weighting ensemble consensus and historical analogs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by the Istanbul meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$116Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF place Istanbul’s August 16 maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with mid-August climatology and positioning these values as the market’s leading outcomes at 48 %, 26.5 %, and 26 %. Late-summer atmospheric conditions feature moderate northerly flow and sea-breeze circulation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea that cap daytime heating, while partial cloud cover further limits insolation. Recent model runs show little deviation from these ranges, with no strong high-pressure ridge or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore weighting ensemble consensus and historical analogs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by the Istanbul meteorological station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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