Latest forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 31–32°C under clearing skies following midweek thunderstorms, with light northerly winds limiting further warming. Recent cooling from rain and increased humidity has kept trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these values rather than higher peaks typical of early August climatology. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, while longer-range guidance hints at slight warming potential if subsidence strengthens. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at Beijing's primary stations, with new ensemble updates expected in the next 24 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
32°C 35%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
30°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 35%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
30°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
$677 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$932 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Vol.
1%
29°C
$447 Vol.
4%
30°C
$75 Vol.
7%
31°C
$152 Vol.
25%
32°C
$2,533 Vol.
35%
33°C
$45 Vol.
23%
34°C
$58 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$65 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 31–32°C under clearing skies following midweek thunderstorms, with light northerly winds limiting further warming. Recent cooling from rain and increased humidity has kept trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these values rather than higher peaks typical of early August climatology. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, while longer-range guidance hints at slight warming potential if subsidence strengthens. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at Beijing's primary stations, with new ensemble updates expected in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,527Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 31–32°C under clearing skies following midweek thunderstorms, with light northerly winds limiting further warming. Recent cooling from rain and increased humidity has kept trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these values rather than higher peaks typical of early August climatology. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, while longer-range guidance hints at slight warming potential if subsidence strengthens. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at Beijing's primary stations, with new ensemble updates expected in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,527Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 31–32°C under clearing skies following midweek thunderstorms, with light northerly winds limiting further warming. Recent cooling from rain and increased humidity has kept trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these values rather than higher peaks typical of early August climatology. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, while longer-range guidance hints at slight warming potential if subsidence strengthens. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at Beijing's primary stations, with new ensemble updates expected in the next 24 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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