Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
22°C 27%
21°C 24%
23°C 22%
20°C or below 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
13%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 27%
21°C 24%
23°C 22%
20°C or below 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$23 Vol.
27%
24°C
$43 Vol.
8%
25°C
$317 Vol.
3%
26°C
$32 Vol.
6%
27°C
$22 Vol.
3%
28°C
$34 Vol.
1%
29°C
$34 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$563Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$563Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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