Recent model consensus points to Shanghai’s overnight low on August 14 falling in the 25–27 °C range, with the market pricing 26 °C as the slight favorite amid ongoing forecast adjustments. Mid-August subtropical conditions, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered thunderstorm activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minima well above seasonal norms for drier periods. Variations in predicted cloud cover and timing of any light rain directly affect the diurnal temperature range; stronger onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favor the lower end near 25 °C, while clearer intervals support 27 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details through the next 48 hours, tightening or shifting implied probabilities as new runs resolve the primary uncertainty around precipitation and boundary-layer moisture.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
26°C 46%
27°C 32%
25°C 28%
28°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
32%
28°C
9%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 46%
27°C 32%
25°C 28%
28°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28 Vol.
1%
23°C
$6 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$21 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$38 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$28 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to Shanghai’s overnight low on August 14 falling in the 25–27 °C range, with the market pricing 26 °C as the slight favorite amid ongoing forecast adjustments. Mid-August subtropical conditions, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered thunderstorm activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minima well above seasonal norms for drier periods. Variations in predicted cloud cover and timing of any light rain directly affect the diurnal temperature range; stronger onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favor the lower end near 25 °C, while clearer intervals support 27 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details through the next 48 hours, tightening or shifting implied probabilities as new runs resolve the primary uncertainty around precipitation and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to Shanghai’s overnight low on August 14 falling in the 25–27 °C range, with the market pricing 26 °C as the slight favorite amid ongoing forecast adjustments. Mid-August subtropical conditions, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered thunderstorm activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minima well above seasonal norms for drier periods. Variations in predicted cloud cover and timing of any light rain directly affect the diurnal temperature range; stronger onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favor the lower end near 25 °C, while clearer intervals support 27 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details through the next 48 hours, tightening or shifting implied probabilities as new runs resolve the primary uncertainty around precipitation and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to Shanghai’s overnight low on August 14 falling in the 25–27 °C range, with the market pricing 26 °C as the slight favorite amid ongoing forecast adjustments. Mid-August subtropical conditions, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered thunderstorm activity limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minima well above seasonal norms for drier periods. Variations in predicted cloud cover and timing of any light rain directly affect the diurnal temperature range; stronger onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favor the lower end near 25 °C, while clearer intervals support 27 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details through the next 48 hours, tightening or shifting implied probabilities as new runs resolve the primary uncertainty around precipitation and boundary-layer moisture.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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