Official meteorological models from MetService and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 53% for 14°C and 33.5% for 15°C. Mid-August climatology centers on 12–13°C highs under typical westerly or southerly flows across Cook Strait, which often suppresses peaks relative to inland areas. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with stable pressure patterns holding daytime temperatures near seasonal norms and minimal subtropical influence expected. Final resolution depends on official station observations, though late adjustments in cloud cover, wind, or frontal timing could shift the exact peak before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
14°C 53%
15°C 33%
13°C 7%
16°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
53%
15°C
33%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
15°C 33%
13°C 7%
16°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$145 Vol.
1%
12°C
$42 Vol.
1%
13°C
$336 Vol.
7%
14°C
$701 Vol.
53%
15°C
$908 Vol.
33%
16°C
$192 Vol.
4%
17°C
$23 Vol.
2%
18°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological models from MetService and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 53% for 14°C and 33.5% for 15°C. Mid-August climatology centers on 12–13°C highs under typical westerly or southerly flows across Cook Strait, which often suppresses peaks relative to inland areas. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with stable pressure patterns holding daytime temperatures near seasonal norms and minimal subtropical influence expected. Final resolution depends on official station observations, though late adjustments in cloud cover, wind, or frontal timing could shift the exact peak before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,160Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological models from MetService and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 53% for 14°C and 33.5% for 15°C. Mid-August climatology centers on 12–13°C highs under typical westerly or southerly flows across Cook Strait, which often suppresses peaks relative to inland areas. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with stable pressure patterns holding daytime temperatures near seasonal norms and minimal subtropical influence expected. Final resolution depends on official station observations, though late adjustments in cloud cover, wind, or frontal timing could shift the exact peak before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,160Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological models from MetService and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 53% for 14°C and 33.5% for 15°C. Mid-August climatology centers on 12–13°C highs under typical westerly or southerly flows across Cook Strait, which often suppresses peaks relative to inland areas. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with stable pressure patterns holding daytime temperatures near seasonal norms and minimal subtropical influence expected. Final resolution depends on official station observations, though late adjustments in cloud cover, wind, or frontal timing could shift the exact peak before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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