Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 12?
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 17%
19°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 17%
19°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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