Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services positions 34–35°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s August 14 high, reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and subsiding air over the Po Valley that favors clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds reducing cooling effects, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Traders assign lower probability to 36°C+ or sub-33°C scenarios because forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours without signals of stronger advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 14?
34°C 45%
35°C 26%
33°C 11%
32°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
45%
35°C
26%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 26%
33°C 11%
32°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$76 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8 Vol.
1%
31°C
$113 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$5 Vol.
11%
34°C
$45 Vol.
45%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services positions 34–35°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s August 14 high, reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and subsiding air over the Po Valley that favors clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds reducing cooling effects, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Traders assign lower probability to 36°C+ or sub-33°C scenarios because forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours without signals of stronger advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$265Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services positions 34–35°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s August 14 high, reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and subsiding air over the Po Valley that favors clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds reducing cooling effects, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Traders assign lower probability to 36°C+ or sub-33°C scenarios because forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours without signals of stronger advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$265Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services positions 34–35°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s August 14 high, reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and subsiding air over the Po Valley that favors clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds reducing cooling effects, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region. Traders assign lower probability to 36°C+ or sub-33°C scenarios because forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours without signals of stronger advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected tomorrow will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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