Current short-range forecasts place Istanbul's August 15 maximum near 27–28 °C, aligning with seasonal climatology of 27–29 °C highs moderated by the surrounding Marmara and Black Seas. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze onset timing, and 10 m wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 24–28 °C, as stronger northerly flow or increased cloud cover could cap readings at the lower end while clearer, lighter-wind conditions favor the upper end. No significant synoptic shift or heatwave is indicated in the latest guidance, leaving resolution dependent on final 24–48 h model updates and local observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
26°C 39%
25°C 37%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
16%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
37%
26°C
39%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 39%
25°C 37%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$28 Vol.
16%
23°C
$12 Vol.
2%
24°C
$142 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$4 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$12 Vol.
3%
31°C
$12 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts place Istanbul's August 15 maximum near 27–28 °C, aligning with seasonal climatology of 27–29 °C highs moderated by the surrounding Marmara and Black Seas. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze onset timing, and 10 m wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 24–28 °C, as stronger northerly flow or increased cloud cover could cap readings at the lower end while clearer, lighter-wind conditions favor the upper end. No significant synoptic shift or heatwave is indicated in the latest guidance, leaving resolution dependent on final 24–48 h model updates and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$222Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts place Istanbul's August 15 maximum near 27–28 °C, aligning with seasonal climatology of 27–29 °C highs moderated by the surrounding Marmara and Black Seas. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze onset timing, and 10 m wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 24–28 °C, as stronger northerly flow or increased cloud cover could cap readings at the lower end while clearer, lighter-wind conditions favor the upper end. No significant synoptic shift or heatwave is indicated in the latest guidance, leaving resolution dependent on final 24–48 h model updates and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$222Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts place Istanbul's August 15 maximum near 27–28 °C, aligning with seasonal climatology of 27–29 °C highs moderated by the surrounding Marmara and Black Seas. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze onset timing, and 10 m wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 24–28 °C, as stronger northerly flow or increased cloud cover could cap readings at the lower end while clearer, lighter-wind conditions favor the upper end. No significant synoptic shift or heatwave is indicated in the latest guidance, leaving resolution dependent on final 24–48 h model updates and local observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan