Moonshot AI continues to drive the Kimi K series as the developer of its flagship large language models, with Kimi K3 launching July 16, 2026, as a 2.8-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model featuring a 1-million-token context window, native vision capabilities, and open weights released under a custom license on July 27. Recent minor app updates to version 3.1.2 as of September 11, 2026, reflect ongoing iteration on the K3 lineage following earlier 2026 releases like K2.6 and K2.7 Code. Competitive positioning against U.S. frontier models from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus a September 10 accusation from Anthropic regarding potential distillation of Claude outputs, shapes sentiment around future releases. Traders watch for Moonshot's next major model announcement amid rapid Chinese AI lab progress and typical quarterly-to-biannual cadence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$17,311 Vol.
September 15, 2026
4%
September 30, 2026
71%
December 31, 2026
99%
$17,311 Vol.
September 15, 2026
4%
September 30, 2026
71%
December 31, 2026
99%
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI continues to drive the Kimi K series as the developer of its flagship large language models, with Kimi K3 launching July 16, 2026, as a 2.8-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model featuring a 1-million-token context window, native vision capabilities, and open weights released under a custom license on July 27. Recent minor app updates to version 3.1.2 as of September 11, 2026, reflect ongoing iteration on the K3 lineage following earlier 2026 releases like K2.6 and K2.7 Code. Competitive positioning against U.S. frontier models from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus a September 10 accusation from Anthropic regarding potential distillation of Claude outputs, shapes sentiment around future releases. Traders watch for Moonshot's next major model announcement amid rapid Chinese AI lab progress and typical quarterly-to-biannual cadence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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