Google's repeated delays of the long-awaited Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O 2026 for a June launch, then shifted to July—stem from extended internal testing and refinements to boost coding, agentic capabilities, and long-horizon performance after early feedback. The current flagship remains the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 Pro, while Google has shipped multiple faster 3.x Flash variants (including 3.7 Flash in mid-August) on a near-monthly cadence to maintain momentum. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic keeps focus on delivering 3.5 Pro soon. Prediction markets reflect trader caution, pricing low odds for an August release and clustering expectations around September–October amid ongoing partner testing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,197,674 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 15
6%
September 30
21%
October 31
69%
$1,197,674 Vol.
August 31
$347,192 Vol.
<1%
September 15
$8,169 Vol.
6%
September 30
$27,801 Vol.
21%
October 31
$5,620 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the long-awaited Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O 2026 for a June launch, then shifted to July—stem from extended internal testing and refinements to boost coding, agentic capabilities, and long-horizon performance after early feedback. The current flagship remains the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 Pro, while Google has shipped multiple faster 3.x Flash variants (including 3.7 Flash in mid-August) on a near-monthly cadence to maintain momentum. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic keeps focus on delivering 3.5 Pro soon. Prediction markets reflect trader caution, pricing low odds for an August release and clustering expectations around September–October amid ongoing partner testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,197,674Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the long-awaited Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O 2026 for a June launch, then shifted to July—stem from extended internal testing and refinements to boost coding, agentic capabilities, and long-horizon performance after early feedback. The current flagship remains the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 Pro, while Google has shipped multiple faster 3.x Flash variants (including 3.7 Flash in mid-August) on a near-monthly cadence to maintain momentum. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic keeps focus on delivering 3.5 Pro soon. Prediction markets reflect trader caution, pricing low odds for an August release and clustering expectations around September–October amid ongoing partner testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,197,674Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's repeated delays of the long-awaited Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O 2026 for a June launch, then shifted to July—stem from extended internal testing and refinements to boost coding, agentic capabilities, and long-horizon performance after early feedback. The current flagship remains the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 Pro, while Google has shipped multiple faster 3.x Flash variants (including 3.7 Flash in mid-August) on a near-monthly cadence to maintain momentum. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic keeps focus on delivering 3.5 Pro soon. Prediction markets reflect trader caution, pricing low odds for an August release and clustering expectations around September–October amid ongoing partner testing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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