Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo release by November 1 53%
August 31–September 6 22%
October 5–October 11 21%
September 7–September 13 21%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
14%
August 31–September 6
22%
September 7–September 13
21%
September 14–September 20
13%
September 21–September 27
20%
September 28–October 4
21%
October 5–October 11
21%
October 12–October 18
20%
October 19–October 25
19%
October 26–November 1
20%
No release by November 1
53%
No release by November 1 53%
August 31–September 6 22%
October 5–October 11 21%
September 7–September 13 21%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
$6 Vol.
14%
August 31–September 6
$6 Vol.
22%
September 7–September 13
$27 Vol.
21%
September 14–September 20
$6 Vol.
13%
September 21–September 27
$6 Vol.
20%
September 28–October 4
$6 Vol.
21%
October 5–October 11
$6 Vol.
21%
October 12–October 18
$6 Vol.
20%
October 19–October 25
$6 Vol.
19%
October 26–November 1
$6 Vol.
20%
No release by November 1
$61 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$142Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$142Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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