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icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?
Teknologi·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?
Teknologi·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

September 10 26%

September 24 26%

September 27 26%

September 7 25%

Polymarket
BARU

September 10 26%

September 24 26%

September 27 26%

September 7 25%

Polymarket
BARU

On or prior to August 25

$0 Vol.

22%

August 26

$0 Vol.

21%

August 27

$0 Vol.

21%

August 28

$0 Vol.

22%

August 29

$0 Vol.

8%

August 30

$0 Vol.

6%

August 31

$0 Vol.

22%

September 1

$0 Vol.

24%

September 2

$0 Vol.

22%

September 3

$0 Vol.

24%

September 4

$0 Vol.

22%

September 5

$0 Vol.

22%

September 6

$0 Vol.

18%

September 7

$0 Vol.

25%

September 8

$0 Vol.

24%

September 9

$0 Vol.

15%

September 10

$0 Vol.

26%

September 11

$0 Vol.

22%

September 12

$0 Vol.

22%

September 13

$0 Vol.

14%

September 14

$0 Vol.

25%

September 15

$0 Vol.

16%

September 16

$0 Vol.

22%

September 17

$0 Vol.

25%

September 18

$0 Vol.

18%

September 19

$0 Vol.

16%

September 20

$0 Vol.

25%

September 21

$0 Vol.

22%

September 22

$0 Vol.

25%

September 23

$0 Vol.

14%

September 24

$0 Vol.

26%

September 25

$0 Vol.

24%

September 26

$0 Vol.

24%

September 27

$0 Vol.

26%

September 28

$0 Vol.

22%

September 29

$0 Vol.

22%

September 30

$0 Vol.

15%

No release by September 30

$0 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model faces tight release timing odds because the lab must balance rapid capability gains against heightened U.S. government scrutiny of cybersecurity and biological risks. The June 9 launch of Claude Fable 5 and limited Mythos 5 established a template of safeguard classifiers that fallback to Opus 4.8 on sensitive queries, yet regulators have already paused and selectively restored access, slowing broader rollout. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s phased GPT-5.6 family and ongoing benchmark gains by other labs add urgency, while Anthropic’s trusted-access program and IPO preparations create incentives to demonstrate progress without triggering new restrictions. Traders see roughly equal chances of an end-of-August drop versus a mid-to-late September release, reflecting uncertainty over whether additional safety work or external approvals will slip the schedule.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model faces tight release timing odds because the lab must balance rapid capability gains against heightened U.S. government scrutiny of cybersecurity and biological risks. The June 9 launch of Claude Fable 5 and limited Mythos 5 established a template of safeguard classifiers that fallback to Opus 4.8 on sensitive queries, yet regulators have already paused and selectively restored access, slowing broader rollout. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s phased GPT-5.6 family and ongoing benchmark gains by other labs add urgency, while Anthropic’s trusted-access program and IPO preparations create incentives to demonstrate progress without triggering new restrictions. Traders see roughly equal chances of an end-of-August drop versus a mid-to-late September release, reflecting uncertainty over whether additional safety work or external approvals will slip the schedule.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 38 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "September 10" di 26%, diikuti oleh "September 24" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 26¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 24, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?," jelajahi 38 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" adalah "September 10" di 26%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 24" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.