**Trader sentiment remains closely split** on Chongqing's August 15 peak temperature because short-range numerical weather prediction models show notable spread around the typical mid-August subtropical high of 34–36 °C. Regional high pressure favoring clear skies and strong solar heating competes with possible monsoon moisture intrusions that could increase cloud cover, trigger convection, and cap daytime maxima near or below 32 °C. Chongqing’s enclosed Sichuan Basin topography and urban heat-island effect amplify sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind, while historical climatology records occasional 40–42 °C spikes when subsidence strengthens. Fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours represent the next high-impact data releases that could narrow the 50 %–49.5 % market-implied odds between the 42 °C+ and 32 °C-or-below outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
40°C 33%
36°C 26%
34°C 26%
35°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
24%
38°C
24%
39°C
5%
40°C
33%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
1%
40°C 33%
36°C 26%
34°C 26%
35°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
24%
38°C
$0 Vol.
24%
39°C
$0 Vol.
5%
40°C
$15 Vol.
33%
41°C
$12 Vol.
3%
42°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment remains closely split** on Chongqing's August 15 peak temperature because short-range numerical weather prediction models show notable spread around the typical mid-August subtropical high of 34–36 °C. Regional high pressure favoring clear skies and strong solar heating competes with possible monsoon moisture intrusions that could increase cloud cover, trigger convection, and cap daytime maxima near or below 32 °C. Chongqing’s enclosed Sichuan Basin topography and urban heat-island effect amplify sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind, while historical climatology records occasional 40–42 °C spikes when subsidence strengthens. Fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours represent the next high-impact data releases that could narrow the 50 %–49.5 % market-implied odds between the 42 °C+ and 32 °C-or-below outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$44Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment remains closely split** on Chongqing's August 15 peak temperature because short-range numerical weather prediction models show notable spread around the typical mid-August subtropical high of 34–36 °C. Regional high pressure favoring clear skies and strong solar heating competes with possible monsoon moisture intrusions that could increase cloud cover, trigger convection, and cap daytime maxima near or below 32 °C. Chongqing’s enclosed Sichuan Basin topography and urban heat-island effect amplify sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind, while historical climatology records occasional 40–42 °C spikes when subsidence strengthens. Fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours represent the next high-impact data releases that could narrow the 50 %–49.5 % market-implied odds between the 42 °C+ and 32 °C-or-below outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment remains closely split** on Chongqing's August 15 peak temperature because short-range numerical weather prediction models show notable spread around the typical mid-August subtropical high of 34–36 °C. Regional high pressure favoring clear skies and strong solar heating competes with possible monsoon moisture intrusions that could increase cloud cover, trigger convection, and cap daytime maxima near or below 32 °C. Chongqing’s enclosed Sichuan Basin topography and urban heat-island effect amplify sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind, while historical climatology records occasional 40–42 °C spikes when subsidence strengthens. Fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours represent the next high-impact data releases that could narrow the 50 %–49.5 % market-implied odds between the 42 °C+ and 32 °C-or-below outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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