Current forecasts from global models position Moscow’s August 15 maximum near 17–21 °C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes because moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and surface high pressure are expected to limit strong warm advection and peak insolation. Ensemble spreads arise from small differences in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors cooler readings. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Centre runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold before official observations resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 15?
19°C 36%
20°C 33%
18°C 31%
21°C 24%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
15°C or below
8%
16°C
4%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
36%
20°C
33%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
7%
19°C 36%
20°C 33%
18°C 31%
21°C 24%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
15°C or below
$31 Vol.
8%
16°C
$9 Vol.
4%
17°C
$204 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
36%
20°C
$7 Vol.
33%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
7%
24°C
$12 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$12 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models position Moscow’s August 15 maximum near 17–21 °C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes because moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and surface high pressure are expected to limit strong warm advection and peak insolation. Ensemble spreads arise from small differences in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors cooler readings. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Centre runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$279Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models position Moscow’s August 15 maximum near 17–21 °C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes because moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and surface high pressure are expected to limit strong warm advection and peak insolation. Ensemble spreads arise from small differences in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors cooler readings. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Centre runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$279Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models position Moscow’s August 15 maximum near 17–21 °C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes because moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and surface high pressure are expected to limit strong warm advection and peak insolation. Ensemble spreads arise from small differences in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors cooler readings. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Centre runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold before official observations resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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