Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Wednesday high near 74–77°F in Seattle, with marine air and persistent onshore flow limiting inland warming despite broader seasonal warmth across the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon sea breezes and zonal flow aloft are expected to cap peaks close to the August climatological average of 77°F, preventing significant ridge amplification or heat advection. The tight spread between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and wind strength across model runs, while probabilities for 78°F or higher remain low absent any unexpected offshore flow development. Updated 12Z model suites and NWS briefings ahead of resolution remain the key near-term drivers for shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 12?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 12?
74-75°F 39%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 18%
70-71°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 39%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 18%
70-71°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$12 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$32 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$6 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$22 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Wednesday high near 74–77°F in Seattle, with marine air and persistent onshore flow limiting inland warming despite broader seasonal warmth across the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon sea breezes and zonal flow aloft are expected to cap peaks close to the August climatological average of 77°F, preventing significant ridge amplification or heat advection. The tight spread between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and wind strength across model runs, while probabilities for 78°F or higher remain low absent any unexpected offshore flow development. Updated 12Z model suites and NWS briefings ahead of resolution remain the key near-term drivers for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$239Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Wednesday high near 74–77°F in Seattle, with marine air and persistent onshore flow limiting inland warming despite broader seasonal warmth across the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon sea breezes and zonal flow aloft are expected to cap peaks close to the August climatological average of 77°F, preventing significant ridge amplification or heat advection. The tight spread between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and wind strength across model runs, while probabilities for 78°F or higher remain low absent any unexpected offshore flow development. Updated 12Z model suites and NWS briefings ahead of resolution remain the key near-term drivers for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$239Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Wednesday high near 74–77°F in Seattle, with marine air and persistent onshore flow limiting inland warming despite broader seasonal warmth across the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon sea breezes and zonal flow aloft are expected to cap peaks close to the August climatological average of 77°F, preventing significant ridge amplification or heat advection. The tight spread between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and wind strength across model runs, while probabilities for 78°F or higher remain low absent any unexpected offshore flow development. Updated 12Z model suites and NWS briefings ahead of resolution remain the key near-term drivers for shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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