Recent model runs and observational trends position the maximum temperature in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 12, with the market split closely between those two outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated daytime heating even during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud development and scattered showers routinely limit solar input and cap highs. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline against which current steering patterns and moisture levels are evaluated. Traders weigh the balance between slightly clearer morning conditions favoring 26°C versus more persistent convective activity that could hold readings to 25°C, with fresh National Meteorological Service updates and local station data expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 12?
26°C 44%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
37%
26°C
44%
27°C
12%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$493 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$488 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,023 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,147 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,323 Vol.
37%
26°C
$1,176 Vol.
44%
27°C
$864 Vol.
12%
28°C
$536 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$501 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends position the maximum temperature in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 12, with the market split closely between those two outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated daytime heating even during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud development and scattered showers routinely limit solar input and cap highs. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline against which current steering patterns and moisture levels are evaluated. Traders weigh the balance between slightly clearer morning conditions favoring 26°C versus more persistent convective activity that could hold readings to 25°C, with fresh National Meteorological Service updates and local station data expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$8,494Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends position the maximum temperature in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 12, with the market split closely between those two outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated daytime heating even during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud development and scattered showers routinely limit solar input and cap highs. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline against which current steering patterns and moisture levels are evaluated. Traders weigh the balance between slightly clearer morning conditions favoring 26°C versus more persistent convective activity that could hold readings to 25°C, with fresh National Meteorological Service updates and local station data expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,494Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and observational trends position the maximum temperature in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 12, with the market split closely between those two outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated daytime heating even during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud development and scattered showers routinely limit solar input and cap highs. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline against which current steering patterns and moisture levels are evaluated. Traders weigh the balance between slightly clearer morning conditions favoring 26°C versus more persistent convective activity that could hold readings to 25°C, with fresh National Meteorological Service updates and local station data expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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